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Table 4.1 June Supplement to the 1980 Current Population Survey: Selected Variables
Variable
Description
date of birth
day, month, year
in years
age
married civilian spouse present
current marital status
married military spouse present
married spouse absent
widowed, divorced
never married
number of times married
date of marriage
month, year of first, second, last
race
white, black, other
ethnicity
Mexican American, Chicano, Mexican,
Puerto Rican, Cuban, Central or South
American, Other Spanish, Other ethnicity
highest grade completed
grades 0, 1,..., 20+
and other ethnicity.
I used data on year of birth to create four large cohorts of women born between 1880-
1909, 1910-1929, 1930-1949, and 1950-1965. Respondents were asked about the highest grade
attended and if she had completed this grade; note that both items are current for the date
of interview and so have a somewhat ambiguous interpretation in the context of first marriage
especially for women who continued their education after marriage. I coded a completed edu¬
cation variable by calculating the highest grade completed and then collapsing responses into
grades 0-9, 10-12, 13, and 14 or more. The separate category of 13 years of education (one year
of college) requires some explanation. A preliminary examination of frequencies revealed that
a large number of women reported that their highest educational level completed was one year
of college. Because I expected that these women might differ from those who completed two or
more years of college, I coded a separate category for these women.
4.2 Exploratory Methods for Event History Analysis
This section presents a brief and self-contained description of the smoothed hazard estimator
used extensively throughout this chapter. Readers who desire a more detailed and leisurely
description of the methods used should see Chapter 3. Other readers who are primarily interested
in the exploratory results and substantive implications of these results may wish to proceed
directly to Sections 4.3 and 4.4, taking the estimator and confidence intervals on faith.
Although there are a number of standard theoretical perspectives that inform research on
marriage, existing theories of marriage offer little or no guidance about the specific shape of
the rate of first marriage. In such a situation, nonparametric methods have practical attrac¬