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sent explanations for the typical non-monotonic hazard func-
tions of the "risk" of marriage and divorce, to evaluate the
relative strength of effects of different socio-economic
variables as well as cohort effects, and to estimate the
effects of expansion in education on the marriage and divor-
ce patterns.
2. Theory
While there is a long tradition of research on marriage and
the family by psychologists and sociologists (Goode, 1963;
Carter and Glick, 1970; Cherlin 1981) economists only re¬
cently became interested in this research area. Becker's
innovative idea was to apply the apparatus of modern micro-
economic theory, i.e. marginal analysis, to the process of
family formation and dissolution (Becker,
1981; Becker,
1975; Becker, Michael, Landes, 1977; Michael, 1979) Starting
with a sparse set of principles the theory allows derivation
of many different hypotheses and integrates a lot of well
known sociological findings in a common framework.
The basic assumption of the theory is that a household pro-
duction function with time for household work, time for
market work, market goods, prices of market goods, and wage
rates as inputs is maximized under budget and time restric-
tions. People marry if the value of this function is higher
for a common household than the utility of remaining single,
i.e. if there is a gain through marriage. This gain through
marriage is higher, the higher the similarity or complemen-
tarity between traits that are used jointly in production
and the more dissimilar are skills of the household members
which can be substituted for each other. In accordance with
the theory women with high income, occupational prestige,
and human capital profit less from marriages because they
lose by the traditional mode of division of labor in the
household. Therefore, high income women with a high degree